Fantasy Football Week 13: Start and Sit – The San Diego Union-Tribune

Here’s a look back at Week 12’s action, and fantasy advice for the week ahead:

WEEK 12 RECAP

Bears 16, Lions 14: Josh Reynolds was Jared Goff’s most-targeted receiver in his second game with the team — the two clearly have leftover chemistry from their four years together in Los Angeles. Anyone who can actually coax Goff to throw the ball downfield is worth a look. Reynold’s Thanksgiving touchdown traveled 39 yards, which must have felt like a million miles to Goff.

Raiders 36, Cowboys 33 (OT): DeSean Jackson remains the quintessential boom-or-bust option in fantasy, but at least it’s good to know the boom still applies.

Bills 31, Saints 6: Zack Moss was a healthy scratch on Thanksgiving. Buffalo’s backfield has been a hard riddle to solve this season, but Matt Breida has always been a gamebreaker and it appears he still has some juice left — he has three total touchdowns the last three games.

Bengals 41, Steelers 10: We’re finally seeing peak Joe Mixon — he’s on pace for 1,725 total yards and 20 touchdowns. Consider that these last two weeks might actually be the peak of Mixon’s season though. His two monster performances came in games where Cincinnati outscored its opponents 73-23. In a more competitive environment or one where Cincy has to throw the ball more, Mixon’s ceiling will likely be limited because Samaje Perine and Chris Evans are factors on third down.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 31: I know the proximity of Mo Alie-Cox makes some hesitant to trust Jack Doyle, but the veteran has at least five targets in three straight games and three touchdowns in his last five games. Alie-Cox has only received five targets once this season (Week 4 against the Dolphins).

Dolphins 33, Panthers 10: It’s fair to say you will likely get a discount on Christian McCaffrey if you draft him next season. I can see him slipping to the back-end of the first round in most drafts. Keep in mind, McCaffrey was still RB25 in PPR and he only finished five of the seven games he played this season. As long as he remains the focal point in Carolina’s offense, he’s worth the risk. You’ll just have to adjust how you construct your roster around him.

Patriots 36, Titans 13: Kendrick Bourne is the WR20 in standard formats (WR23 in PPR) this season. He’s actually a top-10 option (WR9) in standard since Week 3.

Giants 13, Eagles 7: I know it’s tempting because of the past production of Kenny Golladay and Sterling Shepard (and the immense upside of Kadarius Toney), but it’s best to avoid the revolving door the G-Men offer up at the wide receiver position. It’s an absolute mess with players like Pharoh Cooper, John Ross and Collin Johnson seeing action recently.

Falcons 21, Jaguars 14: It’s official. Jacksonville has absolutely no idea how to use Laviska Shenault Jr. Offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell needs to get his hands on some 49ers or Falcons tape. Shenault features a similar skillset to Deebo Samuel and Cordarrelle Patterson.

Jets 21, Texans 14: Brevin Jordan needs to be monitored the rest of this season as he will likely be Houston’s primary tight end in 2022. The talented rookie has two touchdowns in four games since seeing his first action in Week 8.

Broncos 28, Chargers 13: Noah Fant is the TE12 in PPR this season, but he’s been TE32 since Week 7 despite some really good matchups — teammate Albert Okwuegbunam is TE33 over the time frame.

Packers 36, Rams 28: Aaron Jones was a game-time decision and ended up with 10 carries. Green Bay is on a bye this week so it should be easier to trust Jones going forward.

49ers 34, Vikings 26: Elijah Mitchell has been a top-five option at running back since Week 7 despite missing a game against the Jaguars.

Ravens 16, Browns 10: Baltimore hardly ever has three wide receivers on the field, meaning it will be hard to trust talented rookie Rashod Bateman unless you expect the matchup to force Lamar Jackson to throw the ball more. Otherwise, Bateman is competing with Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews for target share, and he’ll likely finish third going forward.

Football Team 17, Seahawks 15: Curtis Samuel returned and was part of a rotation of receivers opposite Terry McLaurin. Samuel won’t have much value in fantasy the rest of the way as Washington eases him back in, but you should monitor his progress and how he is utilized to get a jump on 2022 scouting.

Follow me on Twitter @UTEddieBrown if you have questions throughout the week.

Here’s my best bets for Week 13:

DALLAS AT NEW ORLEANS

Obvious starters: Dak Prescott (DAL), CeeDee Lamb (DAL), Ezekiel Elliott (DAL), Dalton Schultz (DAL).

Who to start: Michael Gallup (DAL) deserves flex consideration in deeper PPR formats with five receptions in two straight. Tony Pollard (DAL) is a solid flex play with at least 68 total yards in three straight despite the difficult matchup. The opportunistic Cowboys D/ST is a solid play against an offense in transition. You’re starting Alvin Kamara (NO) if he’s active (but it’s looking like he won’t be). A consistently heavy workload without Kamara makes Mark Ingram (NO) a viable flex play. Tre’Quan Smith (NO) deserves flex consideration with at least four receptions or a touchdown in four of the last five games.

Who to sit: I’m fading Amari Cooper (DAL) because of a potential matchup with Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore. I’m fading the Saints D/ST because of mediocre play the last month. Marquez Callaway (NO) remains touchdown-dependent.

Sleeper: It looks like Taysom Hill (NO) will start at quarterback — the well paid Swiss Army knife has top-10 upside.

TAMPA BAY AT ATLANTA

Obvious starters: Tom Brady (TB), Mike Evans (TB), Chris Godwin (TB), Leonard Fournette (TB), Rob Gronkowski (TB), Buccaneers D/ST, Kyle Pitts (ATL), Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL).

Who to start: Matt Ryan (ATL) is a solid streaming option against a defense that has allowed 21 touchdowns to quarterbacks in 11 games this season.

Who to sit: Ronald Jones (TB) remains touchdown-dependent. Mike Davis (ATL) hasn’t received double-digit touches since Week 9.

Sleeper: Russell Gage (ATL) is a viable flex option with WR3 upside who has received 32 targets in his last five games with 22 receptions — this includes zero catches against the Cowboys in Week 10.

ARIZONA AT CHICAGO

Obvious starters: James Conner (ARI), Cardinals D/ST, David Montgomery (CHI).

Who to start: You’re starting Kyler Murray (ARI) or DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) if either is active unless the weather dictates otherwise. Zach Ertz (ARI) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in four of five games with the Cardinals. Christian Kirk (ARI) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in eight of 11 games this season. Darnell Mooney (CHI) has at least 66 yards or a touchdown in seven of the last 10 games.

Who to sit: AJ Green (ARI) and Rondale Moore (ARI) are boom-or-bust options this week. Allen Robinson (CHI) hasn’t surpassed four receptions or scored since Week 2. The Bears D/ST become a streaming option against Colt McCoy. Regardless of who starts, I’m fading Justin Fields (CHI) and Andy Dalton (CHI).

Sleeper: At least six targets in four of the last five games makes Cole Kmet (CHI) a viable streaming option despite a difficult matchup.

L.A. CHARGERS at CINCINNATI

Obvious starters: Austin Ekeler (LAC), Justin Herbert (LAC), Keenan Allen (LAC), Joe Mixon (CIN), Ja’Marr Chase (CIN).

Who to start: Mike Williams (LAC) maintains his WR3/flex upside in a battle of explosive offenses. Tee Higgins (CIN) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in seven of nine games played this season. Joe Burrow (CIN) maintains low-end QB1 status despite the difficult matchup. CJ Uzomah (CIN) is a viable streaming option against a defense that has allowed 10 touchdowns to tight ends in 11 games.

Who to sit: Tyler Boyd (CIN) only has nine receptions for 73 yards in the last three games. There are safer options available this week than the Chargers D/ST and Bengals D/ST.

Sleeper: Jared Cook (LAC) is a solid play against a defense that has allowed a tight end to score in four straight games.

MINNESOTA AT DETROIT

Obvious starters: Justin Jefferson (MIN), Adam Thielen (MIN), TJ Hockenson (DET).

Who to start: Dalvin Cook (MIN) will almost certainly be inactive with a shoulder injury. Alexander Mattison (MIN) is a top-10 option with Cook sidelined. Kirk Cousins (MIN) is QB2 since Week 9 and has a premium matchup. Tyler Conklin (MIN) is a solid streaming option against a defense that has allowed at least five receptions to tight ends in five straight games. Jamaal Williams (DET) has RB2 upside with a potentially heavy workload against a defense that has allowed a running back to score in eight of 11 games this season. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) is a viable flex in deeper PPR formats with at least four receptions in six of his last seven games. Josh Reynolds (DET) deserves flex consideration in deeper standard leagues against a defense that has allowed 14 touchdowns to wide receivers in 11 games.

Who to sit: D’Andre Swift (DET) could miss multiple games with a shoulder injury. Just say no to Jared Goff (DET). Kalif Raymond (DET) remains a boom-or-bust option.

Sleeper: The Vikings D/ST have been a borderline starting option (13th ranked overall) this season, and especially struggled with containing wide receivers, but it faces the downtrodden Lions this week and will likely be focused after getting bullied by the 49ers on Sunday.

N.Y. GIANTS AT MIAMI

Obvious starters: Saquon Barkley (NYG), Jaylen Waddle (MIA), Mike Gesicki (MIA), Dolphins D/ST.

Who to start: Myles Gaskin (MIA) has been a top-eight option across the board since Week 7.

Who to sit: Kenny Golladay (NYG) only has six receptions in his last three games. I’m fading Sterling Shepard (NYG) and Kadarius Toney (NYG) until they can make it through a game unscathed. Evan Engram (NYG) remains touchdown-dependent. Daniel Jones (NYG) has one-or-fewer touchdowns in seven of the last nine games.

Sleeper: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) is a sneaky streaming option against a beatable secondary.

PHILADELPHIA AT N.Y. JETS

Obvious starters: Jalen Hurts (PHI), Dallas Goedert (PHI), Eagles D/ST.

Who to start: Whichever Eagles running backs are still standings — Miles Sanders (PHI), Boston Scott (PHI) and Jordan Howard (PHI) — have value with such a premium matchup (monitor the injury report until Sunday). DeVonta Smith (PHI) maintains his WR3/flex upside with at least four receptions, 61 yards or a touchdown in six of the last nine games. Elijah Moore (NYJ) maintains WR3/flex upside with at least four receptions or a touchdown in five straight.

Who to sit: Jalen Reagor (PHI) remains boom-or-bust. I’m fading Corey Davis (NYJ) while he’s dealing with a groin injury. Jamison Crowder (NYJ) only has flex value in deeper PPR formats with the emergence of Moore if Davis remains sidelined. Two targets the last two games for Ty Johnson (NYJ) is no bueno.

Sleeper: Tevin Coleman (NYJ) deserves flex consideration in standard leagues after receiving 18 touches against Houston.

INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON

Obvious starters: Jonathan Taylor (IND), Michael Pittman Jr. (IND), Colts D/ST, Brandin Cooks (HOU).

Who to start: Carson Wentz (IND) is QB7 since Week 8 and QB11 in fantasy overall this season. Tyrod Taylor (HOU) is a sneaky play against a defense that has allowed 26 touchdowns to quarterbacks in 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Exactly four touches in three straight games has me fading Nyheim Hines (IND). TY Hilton (IND) remains touchdown-dependent with only 12 targets in the last three games. David Johnson (HOU) and Rex Burkhead (HOU) are still touchdown-dependent despite the decent usage.

Sleeper: Jack Doyle (IND) deserves streaming consideration against a defense that has allowed at least five receptions or a touchdown to tight ends in eight of 11 games.

WASHINGTON AT LAS VEGAS

Obvious starters: Terry McLaurin (WAS), Antonio Gibson (WAS), Josh Jacobs (LV), Hunter Renfrow (LV).

Who to start: Logan Thomas (WAS) faces a defense that has allowed eight touchdowns to tight ends in the last eight games. Derek Carr (LV) faces a defense that has allowed 26 touchdowns to quarterbacks in 11 games this season.

Who to sit: Taylor Heinicke (WAS) has one-or-fewer touchdowns in six of the last seven games. Kenyan Drake (LV) is touchdown-dependent this week. Both DeSean Jackson (LV) and Bryan Edwards (LV) remain boom-or-bust options.

Sleeper: Foster Moreau (LV) had 60 yards and a touchdown on six receptions (six targets) in Week 7 against the Eagles when Darren Waller was sidelined with an ankle injury.

JACKSONVILLE AT L.A. RAMS

Obvious starters: James Robinson (JAX), Cooper Kupp (LAR), Matthew Stafford (LAR), Rams D/ST.

Who to start: Marvin Jones (JAX) deserves flex consideration with at least four receptions or a touchdown in seven of 11 games this season. Odell Beckham Jr. (LAR) and Van Jefferson (LAR) maintain WR3/flex upside with a premium matchup.

Who to sit: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) hasn’t had multiple touchdowns since Week 5. I’m fading Darrel Henderson Jr. (LAR) with a thigh injury. Tyler Higbee (LAR) has regressed to a touchdown-dependent option.

Sleeper(s): It will eventually pay off if I continue putting Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAX) here, right? Shenault also has at least four receptions in seven of 11 games. Sony Michel (LAR) has RB2 upside if Henderson is limited or out.

BALTIMORE AT PITTSBURGH

Obvious starters: Lamar Jackson (BAL), Mark Andrews (BAL),

Marquise Brown (BAL), Najee Harris (PIT), Diontae Johnson (PIT), Pat Freiermuth (PIT).

Who to start: Devonta Freeman (BAL) has RB2 upside against a defense that has allowed six touchdowns to running backs in the last three games. Chase Claypool (PIT) has been a top-24 option across the board the last two games.

Who to sit: With everyone healthy, Rashod Bateman (BAL) probably doesn’t get a big enough target share to be worthwhile despite the matchup. It’s hard to trust a stationary Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) against a defense that blitzes so much.

Sleeper: Latavius Murray (BAL) deserves flex consideration in standard leagues against the Steelers struggling run defense.

SAN FRANCISCO AT SEATTLE

Obvious starters: George Kittle (SF), Elijah Mitchell (SF), DK Metcalf (SEA), Tyler Lockett (SEA).

Who to start: Brandon Aiyuk (SF) has at least 85 yards or a touchdown in three of the last four games. The 49ers D/ST deserves streaming consideration against a rudderless Seahawks offense. Gerald Everett (SEA) deserves streaming consideration with 16 receptions in the last three games.

Who to sit: Jeff Wilson (SF) is touchdown-dependent with Mitchell hogging all the carries. Law of averages (and elite talent) says Russell Wilson (SEA) eventually rights the ship, but he’s QB19 since returning from finger surgery. Alex Collins (SEA) remains touchdown-dependent.

Sleeper: Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) is fantasy’s QB4 since Week 8.

DENVER AT KANSAS CITY

Obvious starters: Patrick Mahomes (KC), Tyreek Hill (KC), Travis Kelce (KC).

Who to start: Melvin Gordon (DEN) maintains his flex value if he’s active. Ditto for Javonte Williams (DEN), who has RB1 upside if Gordon is sidelined with hip/shoulder ailments. Jerry Jeudy (DEN) has WR3/flex upside with the Broncos potentially having to play catch-up.

Who to sit: Noah Fant (DEN) has 10 receptions for 79 yards and zero touchdowns in his last three games. Courtland Sutton (DEN) hasn’t surpassed three targets since Week 8. I’m fading the Broncos D/ST on the road against a resurgent Mahomes. Tim Patrick (DEN) has seen his targets drop to about four per game since Jeudy returned. Teddy Bridgewater (DEN) is fantasy’s QB20 since Week 7. I’m fading Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) against a defense that hasn’t allowed a running back to score since Week 7. Mecole Hardman (KC) remains boom-or-bust.

Sleeper: The Chiefs D/ST have at least 12 points in two of the last three and haven’t allowed more than 17 points in five of the last six.

NEW ENGLAND AT BUFFALO

Obvious starters: Patriots D/ST, Josh Allen (BUF), Stefon Diggs (BUF), Bills D/ST.

Who to start: Damien Harris (NE) has scored at least one touchdown in six of the last seven games. Jakobi Meyers (NE) maintains his flex value in PPR formats with at least four receptions in 11 of 12 games this season. Kendrick Bourne (NE) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in eight of the last 10 games.

Who to sit: Hunter Henry (NE) and Jonnu Smith (NE) are both touchdown-dependent this week. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) is touchdown-dependent with a difficult matchup. Mac Jones (NE) faces a defense that has only allowed eight touchdowns to quarterbacks this season. Nelson Agholor (NE) remains boom-or-bust. I’m fading Dawson Knox (BUF) against the stingiest defense to tight ends in fantasy. Cole Beasley (BUF) only has 12 targets in the last three games. Emmanuel Sanders (BUF) only has 12 receptions in the last five games. I’m reluctant to recommend Devin Singletary (BUF) or Zack Moss (BUF) despite a potentially favorable matchup — both are touchdown-dependent this week.

Sleeper: Matt Breida (BUF) has 172 total yards and three touchdowns on 23 touches the last three games.